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How bad will winter in Wisconsin be this year? Here’s what 3 different forecast models predict

Cailey Gleeson, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
Last updated: September 10, 2025 3:17 pm
Cailey Gleeson, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
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We’re still about two weeks from the start to fall, but predictions for Wisconsin’s winter weather are in from several forecasters.

The forecasts — from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Farmer’s Almanac and Old Farmer’s Almanac — vary slightly.

More: When does fall start in Wisconsin, Milwaukee? We asked and you answered

As we savor the final few months of (relatively) warm weather, here’s what to know:

When does winter 2025-2026 officially start?

Meteorological winter begins on Dec. 1 while astronomical winter begins on Dec. 21.

What is Farmer’s Almanac predicting for Wisconsin’s winter 2025-2026 weather forecast?

The forecaster’s extended forecast predicts Wisconsin is in for a “very cold, snowy winter.”

Editor Sandi Duncan told USA TODAY most of the U.S. is in store for “a cold or very cold” season. “It’s going to cool down, it’s going to snow, then it might warm up a little, then it’s going to repeat itself again,” Duncan said.

What is the NOAA predicting for Wisconsin’s winter 2025-2026 weather forecast?

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is predicting an equal likelihood of above, below or near average temperatures in Wisconsin during December, January and February.

The seasonal temperature outlook is also predicting an equal likelihood of above, below or near average amount of precipitation through the winter months.

The NOAA seasonal temperature outlook for winter 2025-2026.

What is Old Farmer’s Almanac predicting for Wisconsin’s winter 2025-2026 weather forecast?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac indicated Wisconsin could be in for a mild and dry winter for its 2025-2026 forecast. But, in its fall weather outlook, the Almanac said parts of the Badger State could be in for some snow as early as September.

The forecaster also notes that its mild predictions “are relative.” “It’s still winter—so plan (and dress!) accordingly,” the forecast said. “And if you’re in a snow-prone area, don’t retire that shovel just yet.”

Old Farmer's Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook map.

Old Farmer’s Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook map.

More: When do clocks fall back in Wisconsin? Here’s what to know about daylight saving time in 2025

This article originally appeared on Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: What NOAA, Old Farmer’s Almanac say Wisconsin winter 2025 will be like

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TAGGED:Farmer's AlmanacforecastMeteorological winterNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationSandi Duncanwinter weatherWisconsin
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