Hurricane center in Florida tracking 2 disturbances and tropical wave. Next storm? Jerry

All is quiet in the tropics − for now.

Days after Hurricane Humberto and Hurricane Imelda fizzled out over the open Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, was keep tracking of two areas of low pressure and a tropical wave off the coast of Africa.

More than four months after the start of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, there have been several hurricanes and tropical storms churning in the tropics, but none have made landfall.

The Saturday, Oct. 4, 2025, tropical weather advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows the tropical wave has a low or 0 percent chance of formation in the next three days and a medium or 50 percent chance of formation within the next seven days, in the open Atlantic.

The hurricane center graphics and live weather radars below show what’s swirling in the tropics as well as the conditions for potential rain, flash flood and other warnings.

➤ 2025 Atlantic hurricane season predictions

Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1 to Nov. 30 every year, with the most activity between August and October. Should another weather system develop into a tropical storm, the system would be named Jerry, which is next on the list of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season names (see below).

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Keep reading for information about tropical storm activity for Saturday, Oct. 4, 2025.

National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, forecast on tropical activity: Is there a tropical storm or hurricane now?

According to the Saturday, Oct. 4, 2025, tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, experts are keeping an eye on two areas of low pressure and a tropical wave. The graphic above automatically updates with the most recent location for all disturbances.

In the eastern and central tropical Atlantic, shown with a yellow X in the graphic above:

Bahamas and Southern Florida: A weak area of low pressure located near the northwestern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized shower activity. This system is expected to drift west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas and toward southern Florida during the next day or two, however development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding across portions of the east coast of Florida and the northwestern Bahamas during the next few days.

• Formation chance through 48 hours was low or near 0 percent.

• Formation chance through 7 days was low or near 0 percent.

North-Central Gulf: A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.

• Formation chance through 48 hours was low or near 0 percent.

• Formation chance through 7 days was low or near 0 percent.

In the tropical Atlantic, shown in orange in the graphic above:

A tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.

• Formation chance through 48 hours was low or near 0 percent.

• Formation chance through 7 days was medium or 50 percent.

The USA TODAY Network in Florida will produce daily tropics watch advisories.

The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Trump’s order.

Is it raining in Florida today? Live weather radar

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Contributing: Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network-Florida

This story has been updated to direct you to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Hurricane center in Florida tracking 3 systems. Next storm is Jerry