Two months after the start of hurricane season, something big may be brewing in the tropics.
In the 8 a.m. Sunday, Aug. 3, 2025, tropics advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, a non-tropical area of low pressure (nicknamed AL95) in the western Atlantic about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina may become a tropical or subtropical depression or storm Sunday or Monday while it moves east-northeast, away from North Carolina. And in the central tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave was forecast to move off the west coast of Africa.
A day earlier, “AL95″ had formed along a frontal boundary about 150 miles off the coast of North Carolina and its chances of formation had slightly increased. Though it appears close to North Carolina and South Carolina and had increased to a 50% chance of cyclone formation as of Sunday, it’s important to note the tropical system is moving away from the coast.
The National Hurricane Center referenced the large tropical wave off the west coast of Africa (see graphic below) in its Saturday night tropics advisory.
Additional slow development could occur through early next week.
Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1 to Nov. 30 every year, with the most activity between August and October.
Should another weather system develop into a tropical storm, the system would be named Dexter, which is next on the list of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season names (see below).
In addition, the hurricane center is tracking two tropical waves in the Caribbean. Each are moving west and do not pose a threat at this time.
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season runs Sunday, June 1, to Sunday, Nov. 30, with the most active months between August and October.
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Keep reading for information about tropical storm activity for Sunday, July 13, 2025.
National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, forecast on tropical activity: Is there a tropical storm or hurricane now?
According to the 8 a.m. Sunday, Aug. 3, 2025, tropics advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, here’s information about “AL95” and “Disturbance 2”:
In the western Atlantic (AL95, marked “orange” in the National Hurricane Center graphic):
A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for this system to become a tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of North Carolina. After Monday, environmental conditions become less conducive for development.
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Formation chance through 48 hours was medium at 50 percent.
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Formation chance through 7 days was medium at 50 percent.
In the central tropical Atlantic (“Disturbance 2” is marked “yellow” in the National Hurricane Center graphic):
A tropical wave was forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in the next day or two. Thereafter, some gradual development of the wave is possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it moves generally west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
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Formation chance through 7 days was low at 30 percent.
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Formation chance through 48 hours was low at near 0 percent.
In addition to AL95 and “Disturbance 2,” National Hurricane Center forecasters are tracking two tropical waves in the Caribbean. At this time, they do not pose a threat:
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A tropical wave is in the Caribbean, moving west. Scattered moderate convection (or rain) is occurring over Hispaniola and adjacent waters, including the Windward Passage.
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A tropical wave is in the west Caribbean, moving west. No significant convection is observed in the vicinity of this wave.
The USA TODAY Network in Florida will produce daily tropics watch advisories.
The Atlantic basin consists of the northern Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Trump’s order.
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Contributing: Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network-Florida
This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Hurricane center in Florida tracks AL95 and large tropical disturbance
