TOKYO (AP) — Japan’s long-governing party will choose a new leader to replace Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in a key party vote on Saturday, as it hopes to regain public support and stay in power after major election losses.
The Liberal Democratic Party, whose consecutive losses in parliamentary elections in the past year have left it in the minority in both houses, wants to select a leader who can quickly address challenges in and outside Japan, while seeking cooperation from key opposition groups to implement its policies.
Five candidates — two currently serving and three former ministers — are vying for the LDP presidency. The winner is likely to be Japan’s next prime minister because the party remains by far the largest in the lower house, which determines the national leader, and because opposition groups are highly splintered.
Saturday’s vote, however, is an intraparty contest that only involves 295 LDP parliamentarians and about 1 million dues-paying members. It only reflects 1% of the Japanese public.
Surveys have suggested the front-runners are Agriculture Minister Shinjiro Koizumi, who would be the youngest prime minister in more than a century, former Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi, a hardline ultra-conservative who would be the first female prime minister, and Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, a moderate veteran politician. Two others, Trade Minister Toshimitsu Motegi and Economic Minister Takayuki Kobayashi, are not seen as likely contenders.
None of the candidates is expected to win a majority in the first round of voting on Saturday. The winner is expected to be determined in a runoff immediately afterward between the top two finishers, in a vote that would involve major political decisions by party kingmakers.
A parliamentary vote is expected in mid-October. The LDP, which has been criticized by opposition leaders for creating a prolonged political vacuum, also needs to hurry because the winner will soon face a big diplomatic test: a possible summit with U.S. President Donald Trump, who could demand that Japan increase its defense spending.
A meeting is reportedly being planned for late October. Donald Trump will travel to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea starting Oct. 31.
The LDP also needs help from the opposition, which it has long neglected. The party will likely look to expand its current coalition with the moderate centrist Komeito with at least one of the key opposition parties, which are more centrist.
All five candidates have called themselves “moderate conservatives” to show their willingness to work with the opposition.
They all campaigned for measures to combat rising prices and achieve larger salary increases, to strengthen defense and the economy, and for tougher measures on foreign workers. They stayed away from divisive liberal social issues such as gender equality and sexual diversity.
Experts say they avoided discussing their usual political views on historical issues, same-sex marriage and other contentious topics, including the party’s political funds scandal, which was the biggest reason for their election losses, and anti-corruption measures. Their avoidance of these subjects raised doubts over the party’s ability to regain public trust, analysts said.
