Tropical development is possible in two areas of the Atlantic Basin over the next several days, including the Gulf near Florida, following the recent pair of hurricanes, Humberto and Imelda.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring areas in the eastern Atlantic and also near the Sunshine State, as shown in the map below.
Here’s what you need to know about each.
(MORE: How Hurricane Season Usually Changes In October)
Possible NHC Development
Florida, Gulf
– A weak low pressure system has formed near the northwestern Bahamas.
– As the map above shows, this weak low could then move northwestward through Florida and into the Gulf.
– The Gulf is currently dominated by both strong wind shear and dry air. Those two factors working against tropical development may lessen over the next few days.
– For now, the main concern is the threat of locally flooding rainfall over the next several days in parts of eastern Florida, as the map below shows.
– A separate area of disturbed weather will bring heavier rain to southeastern Louisiana and coastal parts of Mississippi and Alabama.
Rainfall Forecast
Eastern Atlantic
– The other area we’re watching is between the Lesser Antilles and Africa.
– A disturbance known as a tropical wave is moving westward off the African coast into the eastern Atlantic Ocean.
– That could combine with another system and allow gradual development in the next few days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
– A tropical depression could form near or east of the Lesser Antilles by the end of next week.
– It’s far too soon to determine its future beyond that. Most long-range computer models suggest another northward curl of this system is possible, assuming it develops at all. But where and when that northward curl will happen will be important.
Current Sea-Surface Temperatures, Satellite And Possible NHC Development Area
The next Atlantic tropical storm will be named “Jerry.” Check back with us at weather.com for the latest on these areas, and other happenings in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on Bluesky, X (formerly Twitter) and Facebook.
