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Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts colder, drier fall for New York in 2025

Erin Jones, New York Connect Team
Last updated: August 14, 2025 9:32 am
Erin Jones, New York Connect Team
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While New York’s warm weather will continue through August, the fall season is expected to bring cooler-than-normal temperatures, according to the Old Farmer’s Almanac.

The publication, known for its long-range weather predictions, forecasts below-average temperatures and drier conditions across New York this autumn.

When does fall officially begin?

Fall begins with the autumn equinox on Monday, Sept. 22, marking the official start of the season.

What’s the forecast for New York this fall?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac 2025 fall forecast map.

According to the Old Farmer’s Almanac, New York should prepare for a cooler and drier fall than usual.

  • September: Average temperature of 59°F with 3.5 inches of precipitation

  • October: Average temperature of 46°F with 2.5 inches of precipitation

Expect scattered showers, a few warmer days, but mostly chilly weather across the state.

You can view 60-day extended forecasts for locations across New York on the Old Farmer’s Almanac website.

When will fall foliage peak in New York?

  • Upstate New York: Peak foliage is expected in early October,

  • Downstate New York: Colors will peak closer to late October.

Top recommended leaf-peeping destinations include the Adirondack Mountains and Catskills.

For foliage outside New York, scenic destinations include:

  • Kancamagus Highway and the White Mountains (New Hampshire)

  • Acadia National Park (Maine)

How accurate is the Old Farmer’s Almanac?

The Old Farmer’s Almanac claims an 80% accuracy rate. Forecasts are based on solar patterns, sunspot activity, and historical weather data.

This article originally appeared on Rochester Democrat and Chronicle: Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts colder, drier fall for New York in 2025

TAGGED:chilly weatherDownstate New YorkFarmers' AlmanacNew Yorkupstate New Yorkweather predictions
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