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Tropical Storm Gabrielle may become hurricane. Spaghetti models, North Carolina impacts

Brandi D. Addison, USA TODAY NETWORK
Last updated: September 17, 2025 4:13 pm
Brandi D. Addison, USA TODAY NETWORK
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Tropical Storm Gabrielle has developed in the central Atlantic out of what had been Tropical Depression 7 and Invest 92L, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

The tropical storm is expected to develop into a hurricane over the weekend.

If it does become a hurricane, it’ll be only the second of the Atlantic hurricane season, following Erin, which became a hurricane in the central Atlantic just over a month ago, on Aug. 15.

➤ Track all active storms, Tropical Depression 7

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Gabrielle is one of two systems currently being tracked by the National Hurricane Center. A tropical wave off the coast of Africa currently has a low chance for development.

So far, this season has produced seven named storms, none of which have made U.S. landfall, though Erin brought some serious impacts to North Carolina’s Outer Banks. The next named storm is Gabrielle.

Here’s the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of Sept. 17:

More: NHC flagged the disturbance that grew into Helene one year ago. Timeline shows 12-day path

Where is Tropical Storm Gabrielle headed? Spaghetti models

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is moving north-northwest at 22 mph through the central Atlantic. The system is forecast to dissipate over open waters early next week, but the National Hurricane Center advises Bermuda to remain cautious, as remnants and lingering moisture could still reach the island.

Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle path

Tropical Depression Seven has formed in the Atlantic and is expected to become Tropical Storm Gabrielle by the end of the day on Wednesday, Sept. 17, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Will Hurricane Gabrielle form in the Atlantic? Hurricane tracker

Brandi D. Addison covers weather across the United States as the Weather Connect Reporter for the USA TODAY Network. She can be reached at baddison@gannett.com.

This article originally appeared on Asheville Citizen Times: Tropical Storm Gabrielle spaghetti models. Will it become hurricane?

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