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Tropical Storm Lorenzo spaghetti models, path. Will there be any Florida impacts?

Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida
Last updated: October 14, 2025 12:57 pm
Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida
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Tropical Storm Lorenzo was poorly organized Tuesday, Oct. 14, in the central tropical Atlantic.

Little change in strength is expected most of this week. Lorenzo is expected to make a “partial clockwise loop” as it rotates around a subtropical high.

➤Track Tropical Storm Lorenzo

➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location

The National Hurricane Center continues to forecast Lorenzo will fall short of reaching hurricane strength, topping out with winds of 65 mph. To be designated as a hurricane, sustained winds must reach 74 mph.

Lorenzo is the 12th named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.

Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Lorenzo. See expected path

Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.

➤ Track Tropical Storm Lorenzo

Where is Tropical Storm Lorenzo and how strong could it get?

Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. 

Will Tropical Storm Lorenzo impact Florida?

Almost all models show Tropical Storm Lorenzo curving north and then east, staying far away from Florida and the U.S. east coast.

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This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Spaghetti models Tropical Storm Lorenzo, tracker, path. Florida impacts

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